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Going into the final week of Group Play

13 June, 2011

The groups are still remarkably open.  Only three teams are eliminated at this point, which might be a record.  Looking at each group individually, the following scenarios present themselves:

Group W

DC United Left Coast (DCULC) has qualified for the Quarterfinals, but hasn’t yet sewn up top spot. DCULC need only draw with Vienna Fingers (VF) to secure top spot.

Bens Chili Bowl (BCB) can catch DCULC for the top spot if:

  • VF beats DCULC
  • BCB beats Dynamo Mojo Jojo PPG (DMJP)
  • Since the first tiebreaker is tie and the second tiebreaker is actually held by BCB, if the first two criteria are satisfied, BCB takes top spot with this tiebreak

Vienna Fingers can also qualify instead of BCB if:

  • VF beats DCULC
  • BCB loses to DMJP
  • Since the first tiebreaker is a tie, the second tiebreaker is in play and the total combined GD in the first two criteria needs to be >29 pts

Group X

In this group, Crying Dookie Rugrat (CDR) has qualified, but hasn’t cemented the top spot.  CDR can take top position with a draw in the final match.

Footer Phooter (FP) can overtake CDR if:

  • CDR lose to Winterville F.C. (WFC)
  • FP beat Banditos (B)
  • Tiebreaker 1 is split, so in the second tiebreaker, the total GD needs to be >19 pts in favor of FP

Banditos can qualify instead of FP if:

  • B beat FP
  • If that happens, B holds the tiebreaker with the advantage in the first tiebreak

Group Z

I’m saving Group Y for last, because it is the most complicated…

In this group, Riders of Rohan (ROR) have claimed top spot and Arlington Avengers (AA) have been eliminated.  It falls to the final week to determine whether Nuts & Gum (N+G) or Wahlberg’s Peacock (WP) will advance to the quarterfinals. Currently holding the advantage, N+G need only a point to secure advancement.  WP need the following to occur:

  • WP beats AA
  • N+G loses to ROR
  • Tiebreaker 1 is split, so in the second tiebreaker, the total GD needs to be >17 in favor of WP

Group Y

In this group, every team has a shot at the top spot or could be eliminated.

For UM to take the top spot:

  • UM beats The Irons (TI) -or- UM draws with TI and BFC draws with WU -or- UM draws with TI and BFC beats WU

For Westfield United (WU) to take top spot:

  • WU beats Beakerhead FC (BFC)
  • UM loses to or draws with TI (WU holds 2nd tiebreak over UM, 1st tiebreak is split)

For Beakerhead FC to take top spot:

  • BFC beats WU
  • UM loses  to TI

For The Irons to take top spot:

  • TI beats UM
  • BFC and WU draw

So to recap, here is a list of potential outcomes:

  1. UM/TI draw & BFC/WU draw
    1. UM
    2. WU
  2. UM win & BFC/WU draw
    1. UM
    2. WU
  3. UM win & BFC win
    1. UM
    2. BFC
  4. UM win & WU win
    1. UM
    2. WU
  5. UM/TI draw & BFC win
    1. UM
    2. BFC
  6. UM/TI draw & WU win
    1. WU
    2. UM
  7. TI win & BFC/WU draw
    1. TI
    2. UM
  8. TI win & BFC win
    1. BFC
    2. TI
  9. TI win & WU win
    1. WU
    2. TI

Confused?

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